Stock Market
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Opinion is split on whether the stock market has bottomed from its most-recent correction. For over a year I thought the market was due for a big correction, and the most recent 10% correction fits the bill. There was a little bit of panic mixed in with genuine concern over sub-prime. However, I think things in the market have stabilized and will go back to what they were doing before this scare; they will rise.
Many think the market is showing its first signs of a major downfall, but I disagree. Stocks remain well priced and things look brighter while investors have calmed down.
Written by Nagel on August 25th, 2007 with no comments.
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Brace yourself. It has been a bad few weeks and things might get worse before they get better. We hit 4-month lows today, and people are pessimistic about the market.
I do not think all the pessimism is justified, but when this attitudes enveloped Wall Street you need to hold on for dear life.
My stocks have been getting crushed, and it hurts. I got burned a couple weeks back trying to push more money into my stocks they have gone down–trying to get in at a discount. The problem is that they are further discounted and will continue to be. I will try to hord up some cash and continue to buy good stcoks on the way down as they become cheaper and cheaper.
Written by Nagel on August 15th, 2007 with no comments.
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Wow! The stock market dropped from the opening bell until the close on Tuesday. The S&P 500 ended up 2% down for the day, but it just seemed like overkill.
Maybe this is the end of the bull market, but some world-class stocks took an absolute beating today. Some deservedly so, however, if I had money to put in the market right now I would. Unfortunately , I do not have available cash right now, but I will scrap up some in the next few days if possible in order to take advantage of some dirt cheap prices.
Again, I have been crying wolf about how the stock market is bound for a recession, but I just do not think this is the one.
Written by Nagel on July 24th, 2007 with no comments.
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I try hard to be a rational investor and not panic when I hear bad news about a company I invest in. I have try even harder to ignore the nattering nabobs of negativity when broad economic news is released, and it looks bad.
However, the murmurs I heard last year about how the stock market is due for a reversal have turned into roars. As I have said before, being a contrarian can be very profitable. I have also said it is impossible to time the market and get in and out at exactly the precise time. But sticking in the market is getting to be a tougher proposition for me in the short term. More and more pundits or investment professionals see at least a small downturn coming if not a huge 10% slide. Wall Street has a heard mentality, and no matter if the negativity is created out of real or perceived problems; soon it will not matter.
A tipping point will occur soon, if it has not already happened, that the stock market must have a period of negative returns to appease the investing gods. Once that happens a small downturn like at the end of February could turn into to a massive exodus from the market, especially if investors behave as they did and do in regards to the housing market.
What do you think?
Written by Nagel on July 3rd, 2007 with no comments.
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The last couple days of trading on Wall Street has been significantly down. Although the market has been hot for an extended period of time, this might be the beginning of a rush out of stocks. Wednesday the market slowly fell further down throughout the day.
Will this be the start of the crush where investors begin to jump out the windows on Wall Street to the safety of cash equivalents? Flippers have already turned away from the housing market as an investment once the housing market cooled. Will stock investors do the same, if a cool off is upon us?
Written by Nagel on June 8th, 2007 with 1 comment.
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In the last several weeks and months my stock portfolio has had some major and minor changes. Last week a transferred all my family’s IRAs into Roth IRAs. You might wonder why I did this. I thinkn the current tax rate for income are very low, mainly because of the Bush Administration’s tax cuts. Because of the current and future financial mess the country is in, I do not think tax rates will be this low again in my lifetime. Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security are a mess; defense spending is ridiculously high, we are borrowing more and more money to fund these prgrams along with the costly War on Terror. I do not think the economy will grow to the point where it will just pay for itself on the current tax rate and programs we have.
Paying the taxes out of the traditional IRAs and rollover IRAs will be a short-term loss in the value of our retirement portfolio. However, in the long-run this will be a huge gain for us because all the retirement money we have now will not incure any tax consequences once we remove it for our retirement.
Many might disagree with this strategy, but that is my story and I am sticking with it.
Written by Nagel on June 3rd, 2007 with no comments.
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The U.S. stock market most mostly unchanged most of the day yesterday, overreacting to the some “bad” news from China and in anticipation of the release of the minutes from the latest Fed meeting. At the end of the trading session the Fed news was interpreted as very positive and stocks roared at the end with indices ending up about 0.8% up for the day. The S&P500 broke through its all-time high set several years back.
These signals point to a higher return for this morning’s trading session. In the long run it adds to the bullish arguments out there stating the stock market is primed to make a big move.
Written by Nagel on May 31st, 2007 with no comments.
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The stock market has continued its climb and showed only small signs of weakness. Can it keep going up? Will it rise further?
There are many pessimistic investors out there, however, there is just as many positive signs as negative. So what does it mean? Again, I have said I am being conservative, but I am reconsidering because so many investors are so bearish. I am interested in value investing and contrarian thinking so I have put a little bit more money into the market. And if the market dips I will try to take advantage of it.
Written by Nagel on May 30th, 2007 with no comments.
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I continually track the stock market andtry to decide where it is going. I have stated my U.S. economy concerns and its potential impact on the stock market. I have recently put some more money in the stock market, but these are long term investments and I plan on keeping that money in no matter what happens.
I have some individual stock investments that are doing well right now, and I am going to pull that out soon. The stocks that I have that are doing bad are going to stay in the market now matter what.
My stock market tracking is nearly minute-by-minute, and it will continue to be until my concerns are realized, or quelled.
Written by Nagel on May 18th, 2007 with no comments.
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I do watch Jim Cramer’s Mad Money, but I do not watch it for stock tips. I watch it for the investing learning experience. Though I consider myself rather savvy as an investor, I always learn something new about investing.
Cramer gives thumbs up or down to callers stock picks. The problem with his picks are that he influences stocks. If you watch the after hours trading or early next morning market trading you often see Cramer’s positive pick shoot up. So if you are interested in investing in one of his picks you can miss out on an initial percent or two. Sometimes, if you wait for the first couple hours of trading the stocks can come back to earth.
But does it really matter? To me, it currently does not because of my stock market views. I think the sky might be falling and getting out of the stock market is what I think is prudent. So if you are bullish, stick with Cramer; if you are bearish then forget about it.
Written by Nagel on May 11th, 2007 with no comments.
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